TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Joe Burrow
- Kalshi
Joe Burrow - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 2, 2026
Time left: 06h:14m:13s
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These markets determine which individual NFL player will accumulate the highest total fantasy points across all Week 8 games in the 2026 regular season, using Sleeper's full-PPR scoring system. The scoring includes points from passing, rushing, receiving, kicking, and defensive performances, with specific point values assigned to various statistical achievements.
Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified player finishes highest in total full-PPR fantasy points for all players in Week 8 of the 2026 NFL regular season, as calculated by Sleeper. If multiple players tie for the highest points, the market resolves to 1/N where N is the number of tied players, and no holder receives $1 minus the Yes payout. Players who do not play in Week 8 are considered to have scored zero points. All markets share the same scoring format based on Sleeper's default full-PPR system, which awards points for passing, rushing, receiving, kicking, and defensive performances according to specified rates and bonuses.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. While sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows individuals to express their own informed opinions, leading to a dynamic pricing mechanism. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant news breaks, as traders incorporate diverse information into their assessments of who will lead in fantasy points.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy a contract for a particular player, the price increases, and the implied probability of that player being the leader rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, constantly adjusting to new information and insights.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the player with the most fantasy points scored in Week 8 of the NFL season, as calculated by a major fantasy football provider, will be considered the winner. The resolution will be based on official NFL statistics and scoring rules, ensuring an objective and transparent determination of the market’s outcome.
Several signals could significantly move this market. Injury reports for key players are a major catalyst, as the absence of a star quarterback or running back can dramatically shift expectations. Unexpected changes in player matchups, such as a favorable or unfavorable defensive opponent, can also influence trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking news regarding player health, coaching decisions, or weather conditions could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market as traders react to new information.