TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Week 8 QB Points Leader
kalshi
polymarket

Who will lead in QB points in Week 8?

Total volume:
$654
Volume 24h:
$158
67%
Liquidity:
$778
1,098%
Open interest:
$600
26%

Joe Burrow

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

Will Joe Burrow be the highest-scoring QB in Week 8 of the 2026-27 NFL season?

95%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 90¢ buys you 111 shares | Odds: 95% Total Payout: $111 | Net Profit: $11 Multiplier: 1.11x | ROI: 11% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Joe Burrow

Trade
N/A
N/A
10¢
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Disputed
kalshi

Joe Burrow

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$473
N/A
N/A
$467
Settled
Yes
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
Avg: 10¢Max: 10¢
polymarket

Caleb Williams

10%
Yes 10¢No 95¢
—
$50
$33
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Disputed
kalshi

Caleb Williams

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
7.7%
Yes 5¢No 97.5¢
Avg: —Max: —
polymarket

Andy Dalton

99%
Yes 99¢No 50.5¢
—
$0
$10
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Disputed
polymarket

Josh Allen

N/A
N/A
—
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Disputed
kalshi

Josh Allen

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: —Max: —
polymarket

Drake Maye

N/A
N/A
—
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Disputed
kalshi

Drake Maye

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: —Max: —
polymarket

Dak Prescott

N/A
N/A
—
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Disputed
kalshi

Dak Prescott

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$43
N/A
N/A
$38
Settled
No
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
Avg: —Max: —
polymarket

Trevor Lawrence

N/A
N/A
—
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Disputed
kalshi

Trevor Lawrence

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: —Max: —
polymarket

Jayden Daniels

N/A
N/A
—
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Disputed
kalshi

Jayden Daniels

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: —Max: —
polymarket

Jacoby Brissett

N/A
N/A
—
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Disputed
kalshi

Jacoby Brissett

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: —Max: —
polymarket

Lamar Jackson

N/A
N/A
—
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Disputed
kalshi

Lamar Jackson

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: —Max: —
polymarket

Kyler Murray

N/A
N/A
—
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Disputed
kalshi

Kyler Murray

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: —Max: —
polymarket

Jared Goff

N/A
N/A
—
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Disputed
kalshi

Jared Goff

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$73
N/A
N/A
$73
Settled
No
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
Avg: —Max: —
polymarket

Bryce Young

N/A
N/A
—
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Disputed
kalshi

Bryce Young

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: —Max: —
Total markets: 25 of 68

Description

This prediction group asks which NFL quarterback will score the most fantasy points in Week 8 of the 2026-27 NFL season, using ESPN's default fantasy scoring. Multiple markets exist across Polymarket and Kalshi, each offering predictions on individual players.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The markets diverge on the scoring system used to determine the highest-scoring QB: ESPN default vs. full-PPR.Hero tip: Focus on markets utilizing the same scoring system (ESPN default or full-PPR) to avoid confusion and ensure accurate predictions. Consider the impact of PPR on QB scoring when evaluating players.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the QB with the highest points based on ESPN Fantasy Sports default scoring. Tiebreakers are determined alphabetically by last name.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to the QB with the highest points based on full-PPR scoring. Each market is for a single player.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the quarterback that finishes Week 8 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season as the highest-scoring QB under the default scoring of ESPN Fantasy Sports. Only games designated by the NFL as Week 8 of the 2026-27 regular season count. If two or more players are tied for the most fantasy points in Week 8, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player whose last name comes first alphabetically. If the highest-scoring QB in Week 8 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is not a listed player, this market will resolve to "Other". If Week 8 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past November 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a leader cannot be determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official Week 8 statistics as reported by ESPN Fantasy Sports (https://www.espn.com/fantasy/).

Kalshi

Each market resolves based on whether the named quarterback achieves the highest total full-PPR fantasy points for all quarterbacks during Week 8 of the 2026 NFL regular season, as calculated by Sleeper's scoring system. Points include passing yards (0.04 per yard), passing touchdowns (4 points), interceptions (-1), rushing/receiving yards (0.1 per yard), rushing/receiving touchdowns (6 points), and select special teams contributions. If the quarterback does not play, they score zero. Ties result in a proportional payout (1/N for N tied players), with no holder receiving $1 minus the Yes payout. All markets share identical scoring and resolution mechanics.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, incorporating a broader range of information and perspectives than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. This can lead to differences in probabilities, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may initially have an edge, prediction markets can sometimes be more accurate, especially closer to the event date, as they aggregate diverse viewpoints.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can diverge due to several factors. These platforms have different user bases, trading volumes, and liquidity, all of which influence price discovery. Additionally, the specific incentives and trading interfaces on each platform can lead to varying opinions and market behavior. For example, Polymarket might attract more casual fantasy football enthusiasts, while Kalshi could draw more sophisticated prediction market traders. These differences in participation and trading strategies contribute to the price discrepancies observed in this market.

This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The quarterback with the highest fantasy point total in Week 8 of the 2026-27 NFL season, based on standard scoring rules, will be considered the winner. Official NFL statistics and widely-recognized fantasy football data providers will be used to verify the results, ensuring an objective determination of the highest-scoring player.

Numerous factors could influence the probabilities in this market. Preseason performance, training camp reports, and any injuries to key quarterbacks will be closely watched. Changes in team offensive schemes or the acquisition of new receivers could also shift expectations. As the NFL season progresses, Week-to-Week performance, matchups against different defenses, and even weather conditions will play a significant role. Unexpected news, such as a starting quarterback being traded or a key player being ruled out for a game, could cause substantial price movements.