TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Week 6 RB Points Leader (PPR)
kalshi
polymarket

Who will lead RB points in Week 6?

Volume:
$3,022

Christian McCaffrey

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 20, 2026

Closed: Oct 20, 1:45 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Christian McCaffrey

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$670
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Christian McCaffrey

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$588
N/A
N/A
$523
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kenneth Walker

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$682
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Kenneth Walker III

View
0%
81%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$435
N/A
N/A
$247
Settled
No
kalshi

Cam Skattebo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$136
N/A
N/A
$131
Settled
No
polymarket

Cam Skattebo

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jeremiyah Love

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
polymarket

Jeremiyah Love

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Bijan Robinson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Bijan Robinson

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jonathan Taylor

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jonathan Taylor

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Kyren Williams

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyren Williams

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Derrick Henry

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Derrick Henry

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Javonte Williams

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Javonte Williams

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$0
N/A
N/A
$0
Settled
No
polymarket

Ashton Jeanty

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ashton Jeanty

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Chuba Hubbard

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Chuba Hubbard

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Bucky Irving

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Bucky Irving

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jaylen Warren

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 76

Description

This prediction market asks which running back will score the most fantasy points in Week 6 of the 2026-27 NFL season using standard PPR scoring. The markets consider NFL regular season games only and have tie-breaking and cancellation rules.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The scope of eligible players differs significantly between platforms. Polymarket considers all RBs, while Kalshi limits the market to a pre-defined list.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of a player outside of Kalshi's listed options having a standout performance. If you believe a non-listed player could lead in scoring, Polymarket offers a better opportunity.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the RB with the highest PPR score in Week 6, including an 'Other' option. Includes a very extensive list of potential players, plus 'Other'.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to the RB with the highest PPR score in Week 6, but *only* from a pre-defined list of 24 players. No 'Other' option is provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the running back that finishes Week 6 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season as the highest-scoring RB under standard PPR (points-per-reception) scoring per the default scoring of ESPN Fantasy Sports. Only games designated by the NFL as Week 6 of the 2026-27 regular season count. If two or more players are tied for the most fantasy points in Week 6, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player whose last name comes first alphabetically. If the highest-scoring RB in Week 6 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is not a listed player, this market will resolve to "Other". If Week 6 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a leader cannot be determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official Week 6 statistics as reported by ESPN Fantasy Sports (https://www.espn.com/fantasy/).

Kalshi

Each market resolves to "Yes" if the specified running back accumulates the highest total full-PPR fantasy points among all eligible running backs during Week 6 of the 2026 NFL regular season, as calculated by Sleeper's scoring system. Points are awarded based on rushing and receiving yards (0.1 per yard), touchdowns (6 points), receptions (1 point), and additional bonuses for two-point conversions and special teams play. If the designated player does not participate in any games that week, they are considered to have scored zero points. In the event of a tie for the highest score among multiple players, the market resolves to a fractional value of 1 divided by the number of tied players, with no holder receiving the full $1 prize unless they are the sole leader. All players, including those without a listed market, are ranked equally by Sleeper at the time of resolution.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives of participants. Sportsbooks aim to profit by setting odds that attract balanced betting, while prediction market participants are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This often leads to prediction markets reflecting a 'wisdom of the crowd' effect, potentially providing more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches. However, sportsbook odds can be influenced by public perception and marketing, creating discrepancies with this market. The current volume of $3,022 demonstrates active engagement within the prediction market.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge for several reasons. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading volume, currently at $2,344 over the last 24 hours, can also influence price discovery; a large trade on one platform may not be immediately reflected on the other. Additionally, the platforms may have different fee structures or liquidity provisions, impacting trading behavior. These factors contribute to the observed price discrepancies in this market, offering opportunities for arbitrage traders.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Player injuries are a major catalyst, as the absence of a key running back can drastically alter the landscape. Preseason performance and training camp reports will provide early indicators of player form and potential. Coaching decisions regarding player usage and offensive schemes will also be influential. Unexpected trades or free agent signings could introduce new contenders. Finally, any news related to team dynamics or player health will likely cause shifts in the odds, as traders adjust their predictions based on the latest information.