TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$260,393,102

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,894,304,386

408,643

Markets across

39,771

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,493

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Week 5 TE Points Leader (PPR)
polymarket

Who will lead TE points in Week 5?

Volume:
$521

Isaiah Likely

 - Polymarket

Isaiah Likely - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 13, 2026

Closed: Oct 13, 4:33 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Isaiah Likely

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$241
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Trey McBride

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Brock Bowers

View
0%
93%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

George Kittle

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Tyler Warren

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Harold Fannin Jr.

View
0%
93%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Dalton Kincaid

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Sam LaPorta

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Juwan Johnson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Kenyon Sadiq

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Tucker Kraft

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Dalton Schultz

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Mark Andrews

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Colston Loveland

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

T.J. Hockenson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Hunter Henry

View
0%
93%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jake Ferguson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Kyle Pitts Sr.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Brenton Strange

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Tyler Higbee

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Pat Freiermuth

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Cade Otton

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Mike Gesicki

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Oronde Gadsden

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Chig Okonkwo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 37

Description

This market will resolve to the tight end that finishes Week 5 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season as the highest-scoring TE under standard PPR (points-per-reception) scoring per the default scoring of ESPN Fantasy Sports. Only games designated by the NFL as Week 5 of the 2026-27 regular season count. If two or more players are tied for the most fantasy points in Week 5, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player whose last name comes first alphabetically. If the highest-scoring TE in Week 5 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is not a listed player, this market will resolve to "Other". If Week 5 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a leader cannot be determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official Week 5 statistics as reported by ESPN Fantasy Sports (https://www.espn.com/fantasy/).

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the tight end that finishes Week 5 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season as the highest-scoring TE under standard PPR (points-per-reception) scoring per the default scoring of ESPN Fantasy Sports. Only games designated by the NFL as Week 5 of the 2026-27 regular season count. If two or more players are tied for the most fantasy points in Week 5, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player whose last name comes first alphabetically. If the highest-scoring TE in Week 5 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is not a listed player, this market will resolve to "Other". If Week 5 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a leader cannot be determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official Week 5 statistics as reported by ESPN Fantasy Sports (https://www.espn.com/fantasy/).

Frequently asked questions

It's common to see differences between prediction market probabilities and those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which isn’t present in prediction markets like Polymarket. This can lead to prediction market odds being more efficient, reflecting the collective wisdom of traders. However, sportsbooks have risk management departments and may adjust odds based on factors beyond pure probability, such as liability balancing. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the likely outcome of this market, but they represent different approaches to assessing probability.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each tight end’s likelihood of being the Week 5 points leader. As more shares are purchased for a particular player, their price increases, indicating a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share directly reflects the market’s consensus view, and the platform automatically adjusts prices based on supply and demand. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment.

This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official NFL statistics for Week 5 of the 2026-27 season are finalized and the highest-scoring tight end in PPR format is verified against credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the official fantasy points awarded by major fantasy football platforms. The market will settle to 100% probability for the tight end who achieves the highest score, and 0% for all others. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Player injuries are a major catalyst; news of a key tight end’s injury would likely shift probabilities. Pre-season performance and training camp reports can also influence trader sentiment. Changes in team offensive schemes or quarterback performance could affect a tight end’s projected targets and scoring opportunities. Even unexpected depth chart changes could move the market. Finally, any significant news related to player suspensions or trades could also cause shifts in the odds for this market.