TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 5:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This event involves predicting whether a specific soccer match between Famalicao and Alverca will see more than a certain number of goals scored within regular time. The outcome depends on the combined goals scored by both teams.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored in the Famalicao vs Alverca professional Liga Portugal soccer game scheduled for October 12, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each market has a different threshold for the total goals needed to resolve to 'Yes', ranging from more than 0.5 goals to more than 5.5 goals. Kalshi clarifies it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides of a bet, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their beliefs about the likely outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams' strengths and weaknesses. It's common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes – in this case, the total goals scored in the Famalicao vs Alverca match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The closer the event gets, the more volatile the prices may become as new information and opinions come into play.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Famalicao vs Alverca match, as officially recorded by the league organizers, will determine the result. The resolution will be based on the final score, including any goals scored during regular time or added time, but excluding penalty shootouts. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will be paid out according to the market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Famalicao or Alverca would likely cause movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the availability of star players, or even reports of internal team conflicts, could all contribute to price fluctuations. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself can also drive price changes.