TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 4:08 PM EST
Kalshi
The match features two competing teams aiming to score goals within the standard game duration, including any added stoppage time at the end of each half. The focus is on whether both teams manage to find the net during regular play. This scenario tests each team's offensive capabilities and defensive resilience throughout the scheduled timeframe.
If Famalicao and Alverca both score a goal in the Famalicao vs Alverca Liga Portugal match originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may be influenced by factors like public betting patterns or house biases. This market, driven by individual predictions, can sometimes identify discrepancies or offer a more nuanced assessment of the probability of both teams scoring. While sportsbooks focus on maximizing profit, prediction markets aim for accurate probability estimation, potentially leading to different valuations of the same event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of 'Both Teams To Score'. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated beliefs of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential outcome. Trading volume and order flow directly influence price movements in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Famalicao and Alverca score at least one goal during the scheduled match. The result will be determined by official match data, and the market will settle to 100 if both teams score, and 0 if either team fails to score. Traders will be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final match result as reported by official sources.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Famalicao or Alverca would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also move the market. Team form leading up to the match, including recent goal-scoring records and defensive performances, will be closely watched by traders. Any significant pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators or analysts could also shift sentiment and influence trading activity in this market.