TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 5:12 PM EST
Kalshi
Two Portuguese soccer teams, Famalicao and Alverca, will compete in a Liga Portugal match. The outcome depends solely on which team wins in regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the result of the Famalicao vs Alverca professional Liga Portugal soccer game scheduled for October 12, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Famalicao wins, its market resolves to Yes; if Alverca wins, its market resolves to Yes; if the game ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price. The event exclusively considers regular-time results, with no account for extra time or penalties.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, being driven by actual traders, tends to more closely reflect the true probabilities as perceived by those willing to put their money on the line. However, initial sportsbook lines can sometimes influence early trading activity, and discrepancies may emerge due to differing information or risk assessments. It's valuable to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Famalicao vs Alverca match. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating greater perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information, news, and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price movements. This creates a real-time assessment of the likely result, distinct from static odds offered elsewhere.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Famalicao vs Alverca match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome – a Famalicao win, an Alverca win, or a draw – occurred according to the official match results. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 12, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team lineups, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could significantly shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected results in other matches involving these teams, or broader league standings updates, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in sentiment, causing prices to move rapidly. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential shifts in this market.