TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 11:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Falkirk and Kilmarnock, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The resolution depends on whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold. These markets allow participants to speculate on the scale of the win for either side in the match.
The event evaluates different goal-differential thresholds for determining a winning outcome in the Falkirk vs Kilmarnock Scottish Premiership match scheduled for October 24, 2026. All resolutions are based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty shootouts. Four distinct outcome scenarios are assessed: Falkirk winning by more than 2.5 goals, Falkirk winning by more than 1.5 goals, Kilmarnock winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Kilmarnock winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each scenario resolves to 'Yes' if the respective condition is met; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The markets are independent speculative instruments and do not reflect official league affiliations or endorsements. Trademarks and branding remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a relatively small number of professional oddsmakers, whereas this market aggregates opinions from many individuals. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when public sentiment strongly favors a particular outcome. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the perceived probabilities surrounding the Falkirk vs Kilmarnock match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Falkirk vs Kilmarnock match. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the evolving probabilities as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades depend on correctly anticipating the final result. The current price indicates the market’s expectation of the goal difference in the match.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official final score of the Falkirk vs Kilmarnock match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine whether Falkirk wins by more than 2.5 goals, or another outcome prevails, based on this official result. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 24, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Falkirk or Kilmarnock would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions leading up to the match could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or managerial decisions could also cause fluctuations. Monitoring these factors can help you understand potential movements in this market and inform your trading strategy.