TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 11:58 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Falkirk and Kilmarnock in the Scottish Premiership. Bettors can speculate on whether Falkirk will win, Kilmarnock will win, or if the game will end in a tie within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The resolution depends solely on the result of that specific match as scheduled.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Falkirk vs Kilmarnock Scottish Premiership soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. A 'Yes' outcome for each respective market occurs if the named team wins the match outright. If the match concludes with an equal score at the end of regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the match be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The operator disclaims any official affiliation with the league or teams involved.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows anyone to trade, and the odds adjust based on the collective beliefs of participants. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can take the opposite position, driving the prediction market odds in a different direction. This dynamic can lead to prediction markets being more accurate than traditional odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence how quickly prices adjust to new information. Traders are constantly evaluating the available information and adjusting their positions, leading to a dynamic and potentially efficient price discovery process for the Falkirk vs Kilmarnock match.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Falkirk vs Kilmarnock match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against available data to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before its resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, shifts in public opinion, reflected in polls or expert analysis, could influence trading activity. Weather conditions on the day of the match, and even pre-match commentary from influential sports analysts, could also trigger price movements. Unexpected events during the match itself, such as early red cards or significant scoring plays, would also likely cause substantial shifts in this market.