TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 12:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of Falkirk and Dundee FC in an upcoming Scottish Premiership soccer match. It focuses on the margin of victory for either team, with different thresholds defining various possible outcomes. The result is determined solely by the final score after regular time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates different winning margins in the Falkirk vs Dundee FC professional Scottish Premiership soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026. All markets resolve based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty phases. Four distinct outcome thresholds are defined: Falkirk winning by more than 2.5 goals, Falkirk winning by more than 1.5 goals, Dundee FC winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Dundee FC winning by more than 2.5 goals. Any market is confirmed as 'Yes' only if the specified team achieves the exact margin of victory outlined in its respective rule. The governing body’s official match result, as recognized by the league, serves as the definitive source for score verification. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the league or its associated entities, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance betting action, while this market’s price is driven by the collective predictions of traders. If a large number of traders believe Falkirk will win by a significant margin, the price will reflect that expectation, potentially diverging from sportsbook lines. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant influx of information or as the event draws nearer. Examining these differences can provide insight into where the ‘wisdom of the crowd’ differs from expert analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Falkirk vs Dundee match spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The spread itself is the key variable influencing the price, with larger spreads generally leading to lower contract prices.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final result of the Falkirk vs Dundee match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official spread achieved in the game, as determined by official sports statistics. The platform will then determine which contracts payout based on the final spread and the terms of the market. Any disputes regarding the official result will be resolved using widely accepted sports data sources.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 10, 2026. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Falkirk or Dundee FC would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected changes in team form, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Major news stories impacting the teams or the league more broadly could also play a role. Any significant betting activity on Kalshi itself, indicating a strong conviction among traders, will also be reflected in the price.