TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the potential margin of victory in an upcoming professional soccer match between Falkirk and Celtic. It focuses on how many goals the winning team scores beyond the opponent, reflecting the competitiveness and expected balance between the two teams. The outcome depends entirely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates various goal-differential scenarios for the Falkirk vs Celtic professional Scottish Premiership soccer match scheduled for November 1, 2026. Resolution occurs based on the margin of victory achieved by either team after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with outcomes determined by specific thresholds: Falkirk winning by more than 2.5 goals, Falkirk winning by more than 1.5 goals, Celtic winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Celtic winning by more than 2.5 goals. All markets resolve solely to 'Yes' if the final score meets the respective condition; otherwise, they resolve to 'No'. The governing rules explicitly exclude extra time and penalty phases from consideration. Additionally, all markets include a secondary disclaimer clarifying that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the league or teams involved, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, being driven by the collective wisdom of traders, tends to reflect a more pure probability assessment, though discrepancies can arise due to differing information or risk appetites. It's common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbooks in accuracy, particularly when a significant amount of volume is traded, indicating strong participation and informed opinions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Falkirk vs Celtic match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of the event occurring. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating growing confidence in that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Falkirk vs Celtic match, as determined by official sports data sources. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout of 100 cents per contract, while those holding contracts on the losing side will receive nothing. It's important to monitor news and official sources leading up to the resolution date.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Falkirk or Celtic would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather forecasts impacting playing conditions could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to the teams' ownership or internal issues could also play a role. Monitoring sports news and analysis focused on the Falkirk vs Celtic match is crucial for understanding potential catalysts.