TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

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2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

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MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

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63%

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Falcons vs. Buccaneers - First Touchdown Scorer
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Falcons vs Buccaneers?

Volume:
$264,227

Bucky Irving

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 3:17 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Bucky Irving

View
100%
84%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$25,209
N/A
N/A
$21,713
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Bucky Irving

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

No Touchdown

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$56,482
N/A
N/A
$52,528
Settled
No
kalshi

Drake London

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,796
N/A
N/A
$34,490
Settled
No
polymarket

Drake London

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$75
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyle Pitts Sr.

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,759
N/A
N/A
$19,732
Settled
No
polymarket

Kyle Pitts Sr.

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Bijan Robinson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,900
N/A
N/A
$15,717
Settled
No
polymarket

Bijan Robinson

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Chris Godwin Jr.

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,654
N/A
N/A
$15,388
Settled
No
polymarket

Chris Godwin Jr.

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jahan Dotson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,939
N/A
N/A
$14,751
Settled
No
polymarket

Jahan Dotson

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tez Johnson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,575
N/A
N/A
$11,575
Settled
No
kalshi

Cade Otton

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,174
N/A
N/A
$10,121
Settled
No
polymarket

Cade Otton

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Baker Mayfield

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,956
N/A
N/A
$9,956
Settled
No
polymarket

Baker Mayfield

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin Hooper

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,769
N/A
N/A
$7,769
Settled
No
kalshi

Sean Tucker

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,377
N/A
N/A
$6,377
Settled
No
kalshi

David Sills V

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,112
N/A
N/A
$5,112
Settled
No
kalshi

Michael Penix Jr.

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,580
N/A
N/A
$4,580
Settled
No
polymarket

Michael Penix Jr.

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

TB Buccaneers D/ST

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,043
N/A
N/A
$4,043
Settled
No
kalshi

Zachariah Branch

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,781
N/A
N/A
$3,781
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 36

Description

This prediction market asks who will score the first touchdown in the NFL game between the Atlanta Falcons and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on November 1st. It includes individual players, defensive/special teams units, and an 'Other' option for anyone not explicitly listed.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket specifies rushing or receiving touchdowns only, excluding defensive/special teams. Kalshi includes all touchdown types for listed options.Hero tip: Be aware that Polymarket excludes defensive/special teams touchdowns, making the 'Other' option on Polymarket more likely to resolve 'Yes' if a defensive/special teams score occurs.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves 'Yes' only if a listed player scores a rushing or receiving touchdown. Defensive and special teams touchdowns do not count. If the player is inactive or does not play, this market will resolve to 'No'. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the 'Other' outcome resolves 'Yes'.
  • Kalshi: Resolves 'Yes' if any listed player or D/ST scores the first touchdown. No specific rules on touchdown type. If no player scores, resolves 'Yes'.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

First Touchdown Scorer markets for Falcons vs. Buccaneers.

Kalshi

The event determines whether the Atlanta Falcons defense, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense, or neither scores the first touchdown in the professional football game scheduled for November 1, 2026. If either defense scores the first touchdown, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If no touchdowns are scored by either team throughout the game, the No Touchdown market resolves to Yes, and all other markets resolve to No. Markets settle based on actual touchdowns scored once each team’s defense has taken at least one snap, with special provisions for cases where a team is active but does not take a snap. Touchdowns resulting from offensive actions such as fake punts or field goals do not count toward these markets.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. Prediction markets, however, are driven by traders directly wagering on the outcome, theoretically leading to more accurate probabilities. The difference between the two can sometimes present arbitrage opportunities, though transaction fees and market liquidity should be considered. This market provides an alternative way to assess the likelihood of various players scoring first.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information, leading to differing opinions. Trading volume also plays a role; lower volume on one platform can result in wider spreads and more volatile pricing. Furthermore, the platforms may have different fee structures or liquidity provisions, impacting trading behavior. These differences contribute to the observed variations in probabilities for the first touchdown scorer in this market.

Several events could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding player injuries, particularly to key offensive players on either team, would likely cause shifts in probabilities. Changes in weather forecasts, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the expected game plan and influence which players are favored to score. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could also move the market. Furthermore, significant trading volume on either Polymarket or Kalshi could create momentum and drive price changes in this market.