TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Fairleigh Dickinson Knights vs. Texas Longhorns (W)
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Fairleigh Dickinson Knights vs. Texas Longhorns?

Total volume:
$539
Volume 24h:
$51N/A
Liquidity:
$5
2,500%
Open interest:
$517
6%

Texas

ย - Kalshi

Texas - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

ยท

Resolves Nov 4, 2026

Time left: 02d:03h:23m

Texas wins

95%chance
Amount

$

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kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99ยข buys you 101 shares | Odds: 95% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: 240% 2 days to resolution
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Texas

Trade
95%
Yes 99ยขNo 5ยข
4ยข
N/A
$438
13%
N/A
$416
2d 3h 23m
Active
kalshi

FDU

4%
2%
Yes 4ยขNo 99ยข
3ยข
N/A
$101
1%
N/A
$101
2d 3h 23m
Active
polymarket

Fairleigh Dickinson Knights vs. Texas Longhorns (W)

50%
46%
Yes 99ยขNo 99ยข
98ยข
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 23m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
4%
Yes 4ยขNo 99ยข
Avg: 50.5ยขMax: 98ยข
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of a women's college basketball game between Fairleigh Dickinson University (FDU) and the University of Texas, originally scheduled for November 4, 2026. The markets ask whether either team wins the game, with potential implications for cancellation or abandonment.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The platforms diverge on how a game cancellation impacts resolution, with Polymarket introducing a 50-50 split and Kalshi lacking a cancellation rule.Hero tip: If you believe the game is likely to be canceled, Polymarket's price may be more reflective of the true probability of a payout.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to Yes if either team wins. If the game is canceled or doesn't start by November 6, 2026, it resolves 50-50. "If the game is canceled, does not start by Friday, November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either team wins. No explicit cancellation rule is provided. "If Texas wins the FDU vs Texas women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If FDU wins the FDU vs Texas women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming CWBB game between Fairleigh Dickinson Knights and Texas Longhorns, originally scheduled for Wednesday, November 4, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Friday, November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

Markets resolve to Yes if the specified team wins the women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes in the Texas Longhorns vs. Fairleigh Dickinson market. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $539, with $51 traded in the last 24 hours. Polymarket currently favors Fairleigh Dickinson Knights vs. Texas Longhorns (W) at 50.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Texas wins at 95.0%. This provides a consensus view, reflecting the collective predictions of traders on both venues regarding the event's result.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect a more diverse range of information than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd. This can lead to differences, as prediction markets may incorporate factors not readily quantifiable by sportsbooks, such as team morale or subtle player advantages. However, both aim to accurately forecast the probability of an outcome, and convergence can occur as the event draws nearer, though discrepancies can also persist.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi can arise from several factors. Each platform has its own user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information, influencing their trading decisions. Additionally, the liquidity and volume on each platform can differ, impacting price discovery. Trading fees and platform-specific rules may also contribute to these discrepancies. Finally, differing interpretations of available information regarding the Fairleigh Dickinson Knights and the Texas Longhorns can lead to divergent predictions and, consequently, price variations.

This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the Fairleigh Dickinson Knights versus the Texas Longhorns women's basketball game. The platform will verify the final score against trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on their predictions in this market.

Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Fairleigh Dickinson Knights or the Texas Longhorns could significantly shift expectations. Changes in coaching strategies or team performance in preceding games would also be closely watched by traders. Unexpected announcements about game location or conditions could also impact the market. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media and sports news, can also play a role, driving volume and influencing the price of this market.