TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 8:31 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Fagiano Okayama and FC Mito Holly Hock, scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Fagiano Okayama" if Fagiano Okayama are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Mito Holly Hock" if FC Mito Holly Hock are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Fagiano Okayama and FC Mito Holly Hock, scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Fagiano Okayama" if Fagiano Okayama are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Mito Holly Hock" if FC Mito Holly Hock are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different assessment of probabilities than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while this market aims to represent the collective wisdom of traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of public attention. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information, potentially leading to odds that diverge from those offered by sportsbooks, especially as the event draws closer.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a team will score first, the higher the price of shares representing that team. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective prediction about the first team to score in the Fagiano Okayama vs. Mito Holly Hock match.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Fagiano Okayama vs. Mito Holly Hock match, as officially recorded by the league organizers. If neither team scores, that outcome will be considered the result. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy and transparency, providing a definitive outcome for all traders in this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or tactical adjustments announced by either Fagiano Okayama or Mito Holly Hock could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from sports commentators, could also sway trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to team morale or internal conflicts could also contribute to market movement, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions accordingly.