TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 8:37 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Japan J. League game between Fagiano Okayama and FC Mito Holly Hock, scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Fagiano Okayama vs. FC Mito Holly Hock match originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Japan J. League game between Fagiano Okayama and FC Mito Holly Hock, scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Fagiano Okayama vs. FC Mito Holly Hock match originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin for themselves, and may be influenced by public betting patterns. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches. Examining the difference between these sources can provide a broader perspective on the likely outcome of the match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each exact score. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if many traders believe a particular score is likely, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the evolving expectations of the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Fagiano Okayama vs. Mito Holly Hock match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact score determined by official sources will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. It’s important to note that the official result, as reported by recognized sports authorities, is the sole determinant of resolution, ensuring a clear and objective outcome for all participants.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, suspensions, or changes in team tactics for either Fagiano Okayama or Mito Holly Hock could significantly shift the probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from respected sports commentators, could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can create momentum and influence the market’s direction.