TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.1b

24H VOL:

$185,665,189

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,983,476,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,833,875,329

407,365

Markets across

40,470

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,365

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Fagiano O vs Tokyo: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Fagiano O vs Tokyo?

Volume:
$35,090

Tokyo wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Tokyo wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 31, 2026

Closed: Oct 31, 3:02 AM EST

kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tokyo wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16,105
N/A
N/A
$10,576
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tokyo wins by more than 3.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,473
N/A
N/A
$7,241
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tokyo wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,345
N/A
N/A
$3,150
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fagiano O wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,130
N/A
N/A
$2,130
Settled
No
kalshi

Fagiano O wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$816
N/A
N/A
$781
Settled
No
kalshi

Tokyo wins by more than 4.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$220
N/A
N/A
$220
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Fagiano O and Tokyo, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold. These thresholds vary depending on which team wins and by how many goals they win by.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the goal differential by which either Fagiano O or Tokyo wins the match, with different thresholds applying to each potential winner. If Fagiano O wins, the market resolves to Yes if their victory margin exceeds either 1.5 or 2.5 goals, depending on the specific market. Conversely, if Tokyo wins, the market resolves to Yes if their margin of victory exceeds either 1.5 or 2.5 goals, again depending on the market. All resolutions are determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. The governing body for the match is the Japan J1 League, and Kalsci explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the league or its intellectual property.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Fagiano O vs Tokyo match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes changes over time, and monitor the total volume traded in this market. Currently, the 24-hour volume is $31,598, and the total volume is $34,645. This allows you to gauge market interest and potential shifts in sentiment leading up to the event. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the potential results of the match.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals freely buying and selling contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert predictions. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information and react to news more quickly than sportsbooks, potentially identifying value where sportsbooks may be slower to adjust.

This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Fagiano O vs Tokyo match, specifically the spread, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Resolution will be based on official match results, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the outcome of this market. The resolution process is designed to be objective and based on publicly available data.

Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or weather conditions impacting the match could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or key player availability would likely cause significant price movement. Furthermore, major upsets in other related matches or shifts in public perception of team performance could also affect trading activity. Monitoring sports news and team updates will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could move this market before Oct 31, 2026.