TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 3:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a specific soccer match between Fagiano O and Kobe. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed various thresholds, providing insight into the match's offensive intensity. It reflects the competitive nature of the Japan J1 League, where scoring patterns can vary significantly.
The event evaluates multiple markets based on the total goals scored in the Fagiano O vs Kobe Japan J1 League match scheduled for October 18, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals: over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the combined goals from both teams must exceed the specified threshold within the regulation 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shootout goals are excluded from all markets. The resolution hinges solely on the final goal count as per official match records, with all markets independent but interdependent on the same underlying scoreline. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the league or teams involved, and all intellectual property rights remain with their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks may set initial lines to attract action, while this market allows traders to continuously adjust probabilities based on new information and analysis. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when there's considerable uncertainty about the outcome. Comparing the two can provide a broader perspective on the likely result of the Fagiano O vs Kobe match and the total goals scored.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices converge to represent a collective prediction. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe over 5.5 goals will be scored, they'll bid up the price of contracts representing that outcome, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on evolving information.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Fagiano O vs Kobe match will be used to determine whether the market settles above or below the threshold specified in the contract. The resolution will be based on official match statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the outcome. Traders will then be paid out or have their funds returned based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Fagiano O or Kobe would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also move the market. Late-breaking news about team formations or tactical adjustments could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public sentiment, reflected in betting patterns on Kalshi, could drive the market in a particular direction.