TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 2:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams competing in a league fixture. The result is determined by which team secures a victory within the standard match duration, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. If neither team wins during regulation time, the match ends in a draw.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Eyupspor vs Goztepe Izmir professional Super Lig soccer match scheduled for October 12, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if either Eyupspor or Goztepe Izmir wins the match within 90 minutes plus any stoppage time. If the match concludes with an equal score after regulation time, the 'Tie' outcome resolves to 'Yes.' Should the match be canceled or rescheduled to a date more than 48 hours beyond the original schedule, all markets will resolve at a fair price as determined by the platform. The resolution excludes extra time and penalty shootout results. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds, reflecting the ‘wisdom of the crowd’ versus the opinions of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market relies on individuals trading based on their own information and analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public perception deviates from expert analysis. These differences can create opportunities for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from the price variations between the two types of markets. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Eyupspor vs Goztepe match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. The price is determined solely by supply and demand within Kalshi, and traders can influence the price by placing buy or sell orders. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Eyupspor vs Goztepe match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sporting body. The final market price will reflect the actual outcome of the match, and traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout. It’s important to monitor official sources for the confirmed result as this will determine the settlement of all contracts within this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or significant shifts in player form could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, potentially affecting the style of play and the likelihood of certain outcomes. Furthermore, public perception and media coverage can influence trading activity, causing prices to fluctuate based on broader narratives surrounding the Eyupspor vs Goztepe match. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential market movements.