TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 12:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates how many goals will be scored in an upcoming Eredivisie soccer match between Excelsior and Groningen. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of total goals, determining whether the game will be high-scoring or more defensive in nature. The outcomes reflect various levels of offensive performance in the match.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored by both teams combined during the official 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added by the referee, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. For each market, a 'Yes' outcome occurs if the total goals exceed the specified threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5). The thresholds represent incremental benchmarks for scoring volume, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of low, moderate, or high-scoring scenarios. All markets are independent and resolve solely on the final count of goals within regular time, with no affiliation to or endorsement by the governing league or its entities. Trademarks and branding remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and participant perspectives than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when there's significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage, though transaction costs should be considered. Examining both sources provides a more comprehensive view of expectations for the Excelsior vs Groningen match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, various total goal counts for the Excelsior vs Groningen game. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing mechanism driven by supply and demand.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final goal tally of the Excelsior vs Groningen match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by the governing football league. The market will determine which outcome (total goals) was achieved during the match, and contracts will pay out accordingly to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand when and how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 11, 2026. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Excelsior or Groningen would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions unfavorable for high-scoring games, could also impact expectations. Even broader factors like shifts in public sentiment or unexpected tactical announcements from the coaches could lead to increased volume and price fluctuations in this market. Monitoring these signals is key for informed trading.