TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 10:30 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming Eredivisie soccer match between Excelsior and Enschede. Bettors assess whether the combined goals from both teams will exceed specific thresholds. The outcome depends purely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout.
The event evaluates multiple threshold-based outcomes for the total goals scored in the Excelsior versus Enschede Eredivisie match scheduled for November 1, 2026. Each market corresponds to a progressively higher goal threshold (ranging from 0.5 to 5.5 goals). For any given market, if the total goals scored by both teams during the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time—excluding extra time or penalty shootouts—exceeds the specified threshold, that market resolves to 'Yes.' If the total does not exceed the threshold, it resolves to 'No.' All markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately, and the resolution of one does not affect the others. The rules clarify that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance risk and profit, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can be insightful, as prediction markets sometimes prove more accurate in forecasting event outcomes than traditional betting venues, though past performance is not indicative of future results.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the total goals in the Excelsior vs Enschede match. The price of each contract reflects the market's probability assessment of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. Traders can set their own bid and ask prices, creating a dynamic market where the price discovery process is driven by supply and demand. The current price indicates what participants believe is a fair value for the probability of a specific goal total.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Excelsior vs Enschede match will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official match data, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts following the completion of the game and verification of the official statistics. It's important to monitor the event schedule to understand the timing of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Excelsior or Enschede would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also affect trading activity. Unexpected tactical announcements from either manager, or even late-breaking team news, could shift the market’s assessment of the likely goal total. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the teams’ scoring potential could move this market.