TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 10:26 AM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the potential margin of victory in an upcoming Eredivisie soccer match between Excelsior and Enschede. It focuses on how many goals the winning team scores beyond their opponent, reflecting the competitive balance and expected performance of both teams. Outcomes are determined solely by regular-time scoring, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event consists of four distinct outcome markets tied to the same soccer match, each defining a different threshold for resolving 'Yes.' The first market requires Excelsior to win by more than 2.5 goals, the second requires Excelsior to win by more than 1.5 goals, the third requires Enschede to win by more than 1.5 goals, and the fourth requires Enschede to win by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based exclusively on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty shootouts. Regardless of which market is evaluated, the underlying match result must meet its specific goal-differential condition to resolve positively. The secondary rules clarify that the platform hosting these markets has no official affiliation with the league or teams involved, and all related intellectual property belongs to the respective rights holders.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows individuals to express their own informed opinions, which can lead to odds that diverge from traditional sources. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information and perspectives that sportsbooks may not immediately account for, especially regarding nuanced factors influencing the outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism. The current price indicates the market’s assessment of the likelihood of a particular result in the Excelsior vs Enschede match.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Excelsior vs Enschede match, as determined by the governing sports organization. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances shortly after the official result is available. This ensures a transparent and verifiable process for settling the market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Nov 1, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, weather conditions, or even shifts in public sentiment could all impact the perceived probabilities of different outcomes. Unexpected announcements related to team performance or coaching changes could also trigger significant movement. Any information that alters the perceived likelihood of either team winning the Excelsior vs Enschede match has the potential to shift the market price.