TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 4:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Excelsior and Den Haag, focusing solely on the result after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. The resolution depends on which team wins in regulation time or if the game ends in a tie, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts. The markets will adjust fairly if the match is canceled or significantly rescheduled.
The event determines the winner of the Excelsior vs Den Haag professional KNVB soccer match scheduled for October 27, 2026, based exclusively on the result after 90 minutes of regulation time plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Excelsior win, Den Haag win, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team winning within regulation time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regulation, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs about the outcome of the Excelsior vs Den Haag match. Discrepancies can arise from differing analyses, public biases, or even late-breaking news. If significant differences exist, opportunities for arbitrage may emerge, where traders can profit by exploiting the price difference between the two.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Excelsior vs Den Haag match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of its probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a market maker system to ensure liquidity and facilitate trading, allowing participants to enter and exit positions at any time.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Excelsior vs Den Haag match in regulation time, as determined by the official governing body. Any overtime or penalty shootouts will not be considered for the purposes of this market. The final result will be used to determine which contracts pay out and at what value, based on the probabilities established during trading.
Several factors could influence trading in this market before Oct 27, 2026. Unexpected news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff could all shift expectations. Significant weather conditions impacting the match, or even pre-match analysis from respected sports commentators, could also move the market. Any major developments affecting the perceived probability of either team winning the Excelsior vs Den Haag match are likely to be reflected in trading activity and price adjustments.