TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 5:39 PM EST
Kalshi
The event involves a football match between two teams in a tournament, where the outcome depends on whether both teams manage to score during the regular time of the game, excluding any additional periods beyond the standard 90 minutes. The focus is on the competitive performance of the teams within the normal duration of play. The result hinges solely on the scoring activity of both participants during this set timeframe.
If Everton and Newcastle both score a goal in the Everton vs Newcastle EFL Cup match originally scheduled for Oct 29, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe both teams will score, the price will move accordingly, potentially diverging from sportsbook odds. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a broader range of opinions expressed within the prediction market. Comparing the two can offer a more comprehensive view of the event's potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both Everton and Newcastle will score during the match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy 'yes' contracts (believing both teams will score), the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches. The current price represents the market's aggregate forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Everton and Newcastle score at least one goal during the scheduled match. Official match data will be used to determine if both teams found the back of the net. The final result will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the resolved outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Everton or Newcastle would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical approaches, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements or pre-match interviews with managers could provide new information that affects the perceived likelihood of both teams scoring. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential price movements and refine your trading strategy.