TOTAL VOLUME:
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24H VOL:
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2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 1:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Everton and Deportes La Serena in the Chile Liga de Primera. The result will be determined based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Markets will resolve according to whether Everton wins, Deportes La Serena wins, or the game ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Everton vs Deportes La Serena professional Chile Liga de Primera soccer match scheduled for October 11, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Everton secures a victory under these conditions, the 'Everton' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Deportes La Serena achieves the win, the 'Deportes La Serena' market resolves to Yes. Should the match conclude in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The event explicitly excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result within regular time plus stoppage minutes.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams’ strengths. It's common to see this market adjust more dynamically to news and developments than traditional fixed-odds betting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a contract that pays out if their predicted outcome happens, essentially representing a collective forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Everton vs Deportes La Serena match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the results against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the final score. Traders holding contracts for the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or significant shifts in team form could cause the odds to move. Unexpected weather conditions or controversies surrounding the match could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, major tactical announcements from either team’s manager or any pre-match analysis suggesting a change in expected performance could lead to adjustments in the market price. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential shifts.