TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 9:46 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether over 2.5 goals will be scored in the Everton versus Chelsea professional EPL soccer game. Currently, the probability of over 2.5 goals being scored on Kalshi is 22.0%, while the probability of over 3.5 goals is 7.0%. The market will resolve based on the total goals scored after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by the official result of the match. Keep a close watch on the game itself, as the market resolves to Yes if over 3.5 goals are scored in the Everton vs Chelsea match originally scheduled for October 17, 2026.
If over 2.5 goals are scored in the Everton vs Chelsea professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If over 3.5 goals are scored in the Everton vs Chelsea professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to differing information and incentives. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a house edge, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. Over time, prediction market prices tend to be more accurate forecasts than traditional betting odds, as they aggregate diverse perspectives. However, sportsbook odds can still provide a useful benchmark for comparison, and discrepancies may present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Everton vs Chelsea match. The price of each contract indicates the market's implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a specific outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the match approaches, reflecting collective intelligence on the potential goal tally.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final goal tally of the Everton vs Chelsea match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official match result as reported by recognized sports data providers. The market will determine whether the total goals scored fall over or under a specific threshold, based on the contracts traded. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the match concludes. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Everton or Chelsea would likely cause price adjustments. Changes in weather conditions, particularly those impacting the playing surface, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, any significant pre-match analysis from reputable football analysts predicting a high or low-scoring game could sway trader sentiment. Finally, early goals scored during the match itself will have an immediate and substantial impact on the pricing of contracts in this market.