TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 9:51 AM EST
Kalshi
This market evaluates the victory margin in the Everton vs Chelsea EPL match. It determines whether Everton or Chelsea wins by more than specified goal differences after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
The event measures the goal differential in the Everton vs Chelsea professional EPL soccer game scheduled for October 17, 2026. The match is assessed after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalty goals excluded. Four markets are evaluated: Everton winning by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, and Chelsea winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. If the winner’s margin of victory exceeds the threshold, the respective market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi states it is not officially affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial line setting. Sportsbooks typically set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information or interpretations, and it’s common to see prediction market prices move independently of sportsbook lines as new information becomes available. Examining these differences can reveal insights into public perception versus professional analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the final spread of the Everton vs Chelsea match. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating greater confidence in a particular outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their predictions are correct and lose if they are wrong. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread of the Everton vs Chelsea match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result as determined by the governing body of the league. Traders will then be paid out or have their funds returned based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual spread. It’s important to monitor news and updates leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any factors that could influence the final result.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Everton or Chelsea would likely impact the price. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on the day of the match could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to team morale or off-field issues might also play a role. Monitoring these factors and their potential impact on the game’s outcome is crucial for anyone participating in this market.