TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 7:39 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming EFL Cup (Carabao Cup) game between Everton FC and Newcastle United FC, scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming EFL Cup (Carabao Cup) game between Everton FC and Newcastle United FC, scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals putting their capital at risk. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular outcome, the odds on Polymarket may move in the opposite direction. It’s worth comparing the probabilities implied by both to identify potential value, though remember that prediction markets focus on the accuracy of the prediction, not necessarily on betting value.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different halftime results. The price of each share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic and up-to-date assessment of the likely halftime scoreline. The current price movements indicate what the crowd believes about the potential for either team to lead, or for a draw, at halftime.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the halftime result as officially recorded by the match officials will be used to determine the winning share(s). The resolution will be based on the official halftime score, and any disputes will be resolved using widely accepted sources for football results. Traders should ensure their positions are managed appropriately before this date to avoid unintended exposure to the final outcome.
Several signals could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 29, 2026. Late team news, such as key injuries or unexpected starting lineups, could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s style of play, could also have an impact. Furthermore, any pre-match analysis from respected football pundits or unexpected news regarding team morale or tactical approaches could all contribute to price movements. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.