TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
In the upcoming match between Everton FC and Chelsea FC, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Everton FC" if Everton FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Chelsea FC" if Chelsea FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Everton FC and Chelsea FC, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Everton FC" if Everton FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Chelsea FC" if Chelsea FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and sentiment from many individuals. If sportsbook odds heavily favor one team, but the prediction market shows a more balanced outlook, it could indicate disagreement or a belief that the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. It’s a useful comparison point for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where shares are bought and sold, adjusting the price to reflect the perceived probability of each team scoring first. The price of a share representing Everton scoring first, for example, will increase if more people believe they will score first, and decrease if belief wanes. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's efficiency stems from the incentive for traders to accurately assess the likelihood of the event, as profitable trading relies on correct predictions. This creates a dynamic and responsive pricing system.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team—Everton or Chelsea—scores the first goal in the match. The official match records will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome. It’s important to note that any goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered for the purpose of this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Everton or Chelsea would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could all contribute to shifts in sentiment. Unexpected news regarding team morale or internal conflicts could also move the market, as traders react to any information that alters the perceived probability of either team scoring first.