TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 6:24 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Nathan Aspinall and Michael Smith in the European Tour, originally scheduled for October 17 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nathan Aspinall' if Nathan Aspinall wins against Michael Smith. This market will resolve to 'Michael Smith' if Michael Smith wins against Nathan Aspinall. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official PDC results.
This market refers to the darts match between Nathan Aspinall and Michael Smith in the European Tour, originally scheduled for October 17 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nathan Aspinall' if Nathan Aspinall wins against Michael Smith. This market will resolve to 'Michael Smith' if Michael Smith wins against Nathan Aspinall. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official PDC results.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the market participants. The market's volume indicates the level of interest and confidence in each possible result, providing a dynamic and transparent view of expectations for the Aspinall vs Smith match.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the Aspinall vs Smith match as declared by the European Tour. The platform will then verify this information to finalize the market and distribute payouts to winning share holders. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will be settled.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift expectations. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the Aspinall vs Smith match might also affect confidence in either player. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, could also play a role. Major shifts in trading volume, particularly close to the event date, are often a sign of new information impacting the market’s assessment of the likely winner.