TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 6:10 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Michael van Gerwen and William O'Connor in the European Tour, originally scheduled for October 17 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michael van Gerwen' if Michael van Gerwen wins against William O'Connor. This market will resolve to 'William O'Connor' if William O'Connor wins against Michael van Gerwen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official PDC results.
This market refers to the darts match between Michael van Gerwen and William O'Connor in the European Tour, originally scheduled for October 17 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michael van Gerwen' if Michael van Gerwen wins against William O'Connor. This market will resolve to 'William O'Connor' if William O'Connor wins against Michael van Gerwen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official PDC results.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes of the van Gerwen vs O'Connor match, and the price of each share reflects the probability of that outcome as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more people buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds always represent the latest collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the van Gerwen vs O'Connor match as declared by the European Tour. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders who hold shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to the match. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected results in other matches featuring either van Gerwen or O'Connor could also impact trader sentiment. Public analysis and expert predictions, if they deviate from the current market consensus, might also cause price movements. Finally, large trades by individual participants could temporarily influence the price, though the market typically self-corrects as more information becomes available.