TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 7:02 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Michael Smith and Stephen Burton in the European Tour, originally scheduled for October 16 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michael Smith' if Michael Smith wins against Stephen Burton. This market will resolve to 'Stephen Burton' if Stephen Burton wins against Michael Smith. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official PDC results.
This market refers to the darts match between Michael Smith and Stephen Burton in the European Tour, originally scheduled for October 16 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michael Smith' if Michael Smith wins against Stephen Burton. This market will resolve to 'Stephen Burton' if Stephen Burton wins against Michael Smith. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official PDC results.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand, reflecting the aggregated predictions of all participants. This creates a dynamic and responsive pricing system that adapts to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Smith vs Burton match as determined by the European Tour. Any disputes or ambiguities will be resolved using widely accepted sources of information. Traders should monitor official announcements from the European Tour to stay informed about the event’s progress and the eventual outcome that will trigger market settlement.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 23, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about strategy or team composition could also trigger price movements. Furthermore, large trading volumes from informed participants could indicate shifts in sentiment and potentially foreshadow the eventual outcome. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on market fluctuations.