TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 8:23 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Michael Smith and Robert Owen in the European Tour, originally scheduled for October 9 at 3:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michael Smith' if Michael Smith wins against Robert Owen. This market will resolve to 'Robert Owen' if Robert Owen wins against Michael Smith. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official PDC results.
This market refers to the darts match between Michael Smith and Robert Owen in the European Tour, originally scheduled for October 9 at 3:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michael Smith' if Michael Smith wins against Robert Owen. This market will resolve to 'Robert Owen' if Robert Owen wins against Michael Smith. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official PDC results.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. This allows traders to express their views and profit if their predictions prove accurate.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the European Tour match between Michael Smith and Robert Owen. The platform will rely on publicly available and widely accepted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 16, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in preceding matches or tournaments involving either Michael Smith or Robert Owen could also impact the market. Furthermore, public opinion, expert analysis, and even social media buzz can contribute to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market effectively.