TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 6:39 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Jeffrey de Graaf and Sietse Lap in the European Tour, originally scheduled for October 9 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jeffrey de Graaf' if Jeffrey de Graaf wins against Sietse Lap. This market will resolve to 'Sietse Lap' if Sietse Lap wins against Jeffrey de Graaf. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official PDC results.
This market refers to the darts match between Jeffrey de Graaf and Sietse Lap in the European Tour, originally scheduled for October 9 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jeffrey de Graaf' if Jeffrey de Graaf wins against Sietse Lap. This market will resolve to 'Sietse Lap' if Sietse Lap wins against Jeffrey de Graaf. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official PDC results.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand; if more people believe an outcome is likely, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the European Tour match between Jeffrey de Graaf and Sietse Lap. Once the official results are available, Polymarket will verify the outcome against these sources. The platform will then distribute payouts to traders who correctly predicted the result. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available and verifiable information to ensure a fair and accurate outcome.
Several signals could influence this market before Oct 16, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about strategy or team composition could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, general shifts in public opinion or analysis from sports commentators could drive trading activity. Major upsets in other related matches or tournaments might also indirectly affect the perceived probabilities, leading to price adjustments on Polymarket. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential market movements.