TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 10:24 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Jeffrey de Graaf and Mickey Mansell in the European Tour, originally scheduled for October 16 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jeffrey de Graaf' if Jeffrey de Graaf wins against Mickey Mansell. This market will resolve to 'Mickey Mansell' if Mickey Mansell wins against Jeffrey de Graaf. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official PDC results.
This market refers to the darts match between Jeffrey de Graaf and Mickey Mansell in the European Tour, originally scheduled for October 16 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jeffrey de Graaf' if Jeffrey de Graaf wins against Mickey Mansell. This market will resolve to 'Mickey Mansell' if Mickey Mansell wins against Jeffrey de Graaf. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official PDC results.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's potential results. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is driven by supply and demand; increased buying pressure raises the price, while increased selling pressure lowers it. This dynamic process aims to create a highly liquid and informative market.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the European Tour match between Jeffrey de Graaf and Mickey Mansell. The platform will identify the winner according to official tournament results, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution. The resolution process is designed to be objective and rely on publicly available information.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding the players' form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather forecasts or reports about the course conditions could also play a role. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media trends, could influence trading behavior. Monitoring these signals and events will be crucial for understanding potential price movements in this market leading up to Oct 23, 2026.