TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 6:10 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Gian van Veen and Sebastian Bialecki in the European Tour, originally scheduled for October 17 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gian van Veen' if Gian van Veen wins against Sebastian Bialecki. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Bialecki' if Sebastian Bialecki wins against Gian van Veen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official PDC results.
This market refers to the darts match between Gian van Veen and Sebastian Bialecki in the European Tour, originally scheduled for October 17 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gian van Veen' if Gian van Veen wins against Sebastian Bialecki. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Bialecki' if Sebastian Bialecki wins against Gian van Veen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official PDC results.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If sportsbook odds significantly disagree with those found here, it could indicate a perceived mispricing or differing opinions on the players' chances. It’s a useful exercise to compare the two to see where the discrepancies lie and form your own informed opinion.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants. The current price movements indicate the level of conviction behind each possible result in the Gian van Veen vs Sebastian Bialecki match.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Gian van Veen vs Sebastian Bialecki match as reported by the official tournament organizers. Any disputes or ambiguities will be resolved using widely accepted sources of information. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result. It's important to monitor official sources as the event approaches to stay informed about any potential changes.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 24, 2026. News regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could all significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about strategy or team composition could also trigger movement. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants or shifts in broader sentiment towards either player could impact the price of shares. Monitoring tennis news and social media discussions can provide insights into potential catalysts that might affect this market.