TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 3:16 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Aziz Dougaz and Tom Gentzsch in the European Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aziz Dougaz' if Aziz Dougaz advances against Tom Gentzsch. This market will resolve to 'Tom Gentzsch' if Tom Gentzsch advances against Aziz Dougaz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Aziz Dougaz and Tom Gentzsch in the European Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aziz Dougaz' if Aziz Dougaz advances against Tom Gentzsch. This market will resolve to 'Tom Gentzsch' if Tom Gentzsch advances against Aziz Dougaz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular outcome, the odds on Polymarket may move in the opposite direction. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before a large influx of information or as the event draws closer, offering potential arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. The market’s price isn't determined by a central authority but emerges from the interactions of all participants, making it a dynamic and responsive indicator of expectations for the Dougaz vs Gentzsch match.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Aziz Dougaz versus Tom Gentzsch qualification match in the European Open. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all traders. The final result will determine which shares pay out and at what rate, based on the market’s price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 24, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the European Open qualification rounds might also affect perceptions of player momentum. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by informed traders could signal new information or a change in sentiment, causing the odds to adjust rapidly. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading activity will be key to understanding potential market movements.