TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
European Open: Martin Damm vs Francisco Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-1.5
- Polymarket
European Open: Martin Damm vs Francisco Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-1.5 - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Oct 21, 2026
Closed: Oct 21, 7:47 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Martin Damm and Francisco Cerundolo in the European Open, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Martin Damm' if Martin Damm advances against Francisco Cerundolo. This market will resolve to 'Francisco Cerundolo' if Francisco Cerundolo advances against Martin Damm. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Martin Damm and Francisco Cerundolo in the European Open, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Martin Damm' if Martin Damm advances against Francisco Cerundolo. This market will resolve to 'Francisco Cerundolo' if Francisco Cerundolo advances against Martin Damm. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a player, the odds on Polymarket may move in the opposite direction. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before major events or when new information emerges, offering potential value for informed traders.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Martin Damm versus Francisco Cerundolo match at the European Open. The platform will verify the result against widely available sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute funds to those who correctly predicted the result. The market will close prior to the official result being known, allowing for a clear determination of winners and losers.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries to either Martin Damm or Francisco Cerundolo would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions at the European Open could also impact perceived advantages. Unexpected announcements about playing surfaces or tournament rules could shift probabilities. Finally, general shifts in public sentiment, as reflected by analysis from sports commentators, could also move this market as traders adjust their positions based on new information.