TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 3:02 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Clement Chidekh and Jacob Fearnley in the European Open, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Clement Chidekh' if Clement Chidekh advances against Jacob Fearnley. This market will resolve to 'Jacob Fearnley' if Jacob Fearnley advances against Clement Chidekh. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Clement Chidekh and Jacob Fearnley in the European Open, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Clement Chidekh' if Clement Chidekh advances against Jacob Fearnley. This market will resolve to 'Jacob Fearnley' if Jacob Fearnley advances against Clement Chidekh. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. This can be due to the wisdom of the crowd effect, where the collective predictions of many individuals prove more accurate than those of a few experts. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public perception or promotional offers, while this market reflects what traders believe will happen based on available information. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant events or when new information emerges, offering potential value for informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are bought for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly translates to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds reflect the collective intelligence of all participants, constantly updating as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Clement Chidekh versus Jacob Fearnley match at the European Open. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to determine which player won the match and settle the market accordingly. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final share price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the European Open, or even broader tennis news, could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants could create short-term price movements. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the players and the tournament will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market before it resolves.