TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 1:34 PM EST
Polymarket
This event refers to the European Challenge Cup match between Zebre and Ulster Rugby, scheduled for October 17 at 10:15AM ET. The result after 80 minutes of regulation play, including stoppage time, will be used. Extra time and penalty kicks do not count. If the match is postponed, the markets will remain open for the rescheduled fixture. If it is canceled, abandoned without an official regulation-time result, or delayed more than 7 days without beginning, the Draw outcome will resolve Yes and both team outcomes will resolve No. Resolution will be based on official European Professional Club Rugby results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This event refers to the European Challenge Cup match between Zebre and Ulster Rugby, scheduled for October 17 at 10:15AM ET. The result after 80 minutes of regulation play, including stoppage time, will be used. Extra time and penalty kicks do not count. If the match is postponed, the markets will remain open for the rescheduled fixture. If it is canceled, abandoned without an official regulation-time result, or delayed more than 7 days without beginning, the Draw outcome will resolve Yes and both team outcomes will resolve No. Resolution will be based on official European Professional Club Rugby results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts accordingly. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand, with no central authority setting the odds. This dynamic pricing allows for a constantly updated assessment of the event's potential results, based on the collective intelligence of the traders involved.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the European Challenge Cup match between Zebre and Ulster Rugby, as reported by official sports sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will not. The final result will be publicly available on Polymarket after verification.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies could significantly impact perceived probabilities. Weather conditions on the day of the match, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also be a catalyst. Furthermore, unexpected announcements related to the European Challenge Cup tournament itself, or even broader rugby news, could affect trader sentiment and lead to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market.