TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:54 PM EST
Polymarket
This event refers to the European Challenge Cup match between Castres Olympique and Benetton Treviso, scheduled for October 18 at 12:30PM ET. The result after 80 minutes of regulation play, including stoppage time, will be used. Extra time and penalty kicks do not count. If the match is postponed, the markets will remain open for the rescheduled fixture. If it is canceled, abandoned without an official regulation-time result, or delayed more than 7 days without beginning, the Draw outcome will resolve Yes and both team outcomes will resolve No. Resolution will be based on official European Professional Club Rugby results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This event refers to the European Challenge Cup match between Castres Olympique and Benetton Treviso, scheduled for October 18 at 12:30PM ET. The result after 80 minutes of regulation play, including stoppage time, will be used. Extra time and penalty kicks do not count. If the match is postponed, the markets will remain open for the rescheduled fixture. If it is canceled, abandoned without an official regulation-time result, or delayed more than 7 days without beginning, the Draw outcome will resolve Yes and both team outcomes will resolve No. Resolution will be based on official European Professional Club Rugby results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by house biases or limits on betting. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows anyone to participate and express their view, potentially leading to a different probability assessment. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts closer to the event date. Comparing the two can reveal interesting insights into differing perspectives on the likely result.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the result will be determined by the official outcome of the European Challenge Cup match between Castres Olympique and Benetton Treviso. The platform will rely on official sources to verify the winning team, and the market will settle accordingly. Any potential overtime or tie-breaking procedures will be considered in determining the final result, ensuring a fair and accurate resolution process.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Castres Olympique or Benetton Treviso would likely cause a shift in probabilities. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on the day of the match, or even significant tactical adjustments announced by either team, could also move the market. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived likelihood of Castres Olympique winning will likely be reflected in the trading activity.