TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 1:38 PM EST
Polymarket
This event refers to the European Challenge Cup match between Black Lion and Ospreys, scheduled for October 17 at 8:00AM ET. The result after 80 minutes of regulation play, including stoppage time, will be used. Extra time and penalty kicks do not count. If the match is postponed, the markets will remain open for the rescheduled fixture. If it is canceled, abandoned without an official regulation-time result, or delayed more than 7 days without beginning, the Draw outcome will resolve Yes and both team outcomes will resolve No. Resolution will be based on official European Professional Club Rugby results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This event refers to the European Challenge Cup match between Black Lion and Ospreys, scheduled for October 17 at 8:00AM ET. The result after 80 minutes of regulation play, including stoppage time, will be used. Extra time and penalty kicks do not count. If the match is postponed, the markets will remain open for the rescheduled fixture. If it is canceled, abandoned without an official regulation-time result, or delayed more than 7 days without beginning, the Draw outcome will resolve Yes and both team outcomes will resolve No. Resolution will be based on official European Professional Club Rugby results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's potential results. The current volume indicates the level of interest and conviction surrounding the Black Lion versus Ospreys match.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the European Challenge Cup match between Black Lion and Ospreys, as reported by official sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official announcements to stay informed about the event's progress and the timing of resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Additionally, updates on team form, tactical adjustments, or even pre-match analysis from sports commentators could impact the perceived probabilities. Major upsets in other related matches, or even general shifts in public opinion, might also contribute to movements in the market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price fluctuations.