TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 9:44 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primera División (Venezuela) game between Estudiantes de Merida and Metropolitanos FC, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Estudiantes de Merida vs. Metropolitanos FC match originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Primera División (Venezuela) game between Estudiantes de Merida and Metropolitanos FC, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Estudiantes de Merida vs. Metropolitanos FC match originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially when there’s significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome of the Estudiantes de Merida vs. Metropolitanos FC match. Comparing these odds can reveal where the crowd believes there’s value or mispricing.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing different exact scores in the match, and the price of each share reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief about the most likely result. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are influenced by factors like team form, injuries, and pre-match analysis, all aggregated through the decisions of market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Estudiantes de Merida vs. Metropolitanos FC match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact score at the end of regulation time will determine the winning share(s) in this market. It’s important to note that any extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered for resolution purposes; only the score at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time counts towards determining the outcome of this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Major news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either the Estudiantes de Merida or Metropolitanos FC teams would likely cause price adjustments. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising loss in a recent match, could also influence trader sentiment. Finally, any pre-match analysis or expert predictions that gain widespread attention could shift the probabilities reflected in this market, especially if they challenge existing expectations about the Estudiantes de Merida vs. Metropolitanos FC match.