TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$245,601,049

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,985,204,718

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,897,405,322

408,349

Markets across

39,583

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,443

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Estudiantes de La Plata vs. Instituto AC Córdoba
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Estudiantes de La Plata vs. Instituto AC Córdoba?

Volume:
$2,276,011

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 31, 2026

Closed: Oct 31, 10:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
68%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$548,983
N/A
N/A
$184,731
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Estudiantes de La Plata vs. Instituto AC Córdoba)

View
100%
71%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$98,341
$36,465
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Estudiantes La Plata

View
0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$855,218
N/A
N/A
$370,045
Settled
No
polymarket

Estudiantes de La Plata

View
0%
52%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$119,571
$74,825
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Instituto Cordoba

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$722,397
N/A
N/A
$217,326
Settled
No
polymarket

Instituto AC Córdoba

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38,124
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the likelihood of a draw in the soccer match between Estudiantes de La Plata and Instituto AC Córdoba, scheduled for October 31, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of a draw is 100.0%, aggregated from Kalshi and Polymarket. The resolution source for this market is the official Argentine Football Association website (https://www.afa.com.ar/es/liga-profesional-de-futbol). Keep an eye on potential cancellation policies, as discrepancies exist between platforms regarding resolution if the match does not occur – specifically, Polymarket resolves to “No” in the event of total cancellation without a rescheduled game.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly addresses game cancellation, resolving to 'No', while Kalshi lacks this provision, implying resolution only if the game occurs.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of game cancellation when trading. Polymarket offers a hedge against this risk, while Kalshi does not.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolution is based on the outcome of the game within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If canceled with no make-up game, resolves to 'No'. Uses a hierarchy of official sources (AFA, Flashscore, Sofascore, consensus).
  • Kalshi: Resolution is based on the outcome of the game within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation rule is provided. Focuses solely on win/draw/loss if the game is completed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Primera División Argentina game, scheduled for Saturday, October 31, 2026 between Estudiantes de La Plata and Instituto AC Córdoba.

Kalshi

Markets resolve based on the result of the Estudiantes La Plata vs Instituto Cordoba professional Argentina Primera Division soccer game scheduled for October 31, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three separate markets exist: one for each team winning, and one for a tie. If the game ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours after the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to their underlying mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own analysis and profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by the collective predictions of traders. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, as the market incorporates a wider range of information and perspectives. However, sportsbooks may offer different types of wagers not available in this market, and liquidity can vary significantly between the two. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors, including differing user bases, trading fees, and market-specific rules. Each platform attracts a unique set of traders with varying levels of expertise and risk tolerance, which influences price discovery. Furthermore, the volume of trading on each platform impacts price volatility and can create temporary discrepancies. While both platforms track the same underlying event – the Estudiantes vs. Instituto match – these factors contribute to potentially different probabilities being reflected in the prices.