TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 12:25 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Copa Libertadores game between Estudiantes de La Plata and CR Flamengo, scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CR Flamengo match originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Copa Libertadores game between Estudiantes de La Plata and CR Flamengo, scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CR Flamengo match originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks incorporate factors like public betting patterns and marketing promotions, this market reflects the collective wisdom of informed traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team form, player injuries, or even subtle tactical advantages. It's common to see prediction markets move more efficiently based on new information, potentially offering more accurate probabilities than sportsbook lines. Comparing the two can be a valuable exercise for anyone looking to identify potential value in either venue.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each possible exact score. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event’s likelihood. The market’s depth – the number of shares available at different price points – also indicates the level of confidence traders have in each outcome. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and evolving expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Estudiantes vs. Flamengo match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact score reported by official sources will be used to determine the winning shares. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available, authoritative data to ensure a fair and transparent outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the confirmed result as the resolution date approaches, as this will determine the payout of their shares.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Estudiantes de La Plata or CR Flamengo would likely cause price adjustments. Tactical announcements from either manager, changes in team form based on recent matches, or even weather conditions on match day could all influence trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup changes, or even credible reports of internal team issues, could also contribute to shifts in the odds. Monitoring these factors closely will be crucial for anyone looking to capitalize on potential market movements before Oct 16, 2026.