TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 10:22 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of the October 15, 2026 CONMEBOL Libertadores match between Estudiantes de La Plata and CR Flamengo, specifically forecasting whether the game will end in a draw. Currently, the consensus probability of a draw is 100.0%, aggregated from Kalshi and Polymarket. Official CONMEBOL Libertadores statistics will be used for resolution, with fallback sources including Flashscore, Sofascore, and credible reporting. With a small 0.1% probability assigned to a CR Flamengo win on October 15, 2026, traders should watch the match itself on October 15th to see if the predicted draw materializes.
This event is for the upcoming Copa Libertadores game, scheduled for Thursday, October 15, 2026 between Estudiantes de La Plata and CR Flamengo.
The market resolves based on the result of the Estudiantes La Plata vs Flamengo professional CONMEBOL Libertadores soccer game scheduled for Oct 15, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Estudiantes La Plata wins, the 'Reg Time: Estudiantes La Plata' market resolves to Yes. If Flamengo wins, the 'Reg Time: Flamengo' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the 'Reg Time: Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, all markets will resolve to a fair price.
Prediction market odds, like those displayed for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow participants to freely express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert opinion. However, both aim to accurately forecast the probability of an event, and both can be valuable tools for informed decision-making. The volume of $2,125,221 suggests significant interest in this match.