TOTAL VOLUME:
$155.3b
24H VOL:
$358,270,487
24H TRANSACTIONS:
3,002,125,488
OPEN INTEREST:
$2,041,693,191
423,163
Markets across
39,982
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,387
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 1:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional Liga Portugal soccer match between Estoril and Moreirense. Bettors can speculate on whether Estoril, Moreirense, or neither team (a tie) will win the match within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The resolution depends purely on the game's result as it concludes in regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Estoril vs Moreirense professional Liga Portugal soccer match originally scheduled for October 25, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for each respective market occurs if the associated team wins the match within regular time. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following Kalshi's standard procedures. These rules apply exclusively to the result determined within regular time and do not consider outcomes from extra time or penalty shootouts.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective prediction of informed traders. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant news breaks or as more information becomes available. While sportsbooks may initially be influenced by public betting patterns, this market tends to converge towards a more fundamentally-driven probability assessment as traders weigh various factors impacting the outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among participants regarding the potential results of the Estoril vs Moreirense match.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Estoril vs Moreirense match, as determined by the governing sporting body. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The final result will be reported and verified to ensure accurate settlement of all outstanding contracts.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Estoril or Moreirense would likely cause price movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or internal team issues could also play a role. Monitoring these signals and analyzing their potential impact is crucial for traders seeking to capitalize on market fluctuations.