TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 05d:10h:06m
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In the upcoming match between Estoril Praia and CS Marítimo, scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Estoril Praia" if Estoril Praia are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CS Marítimo" if CS Marítimo are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Estoril Praia and CS Marítimo, scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Estoril Praia" if Estoril Praia are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CS Marítimo" if CS Marítimo are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders on Polymarket, aims to reflect the true probabilities as perceived by the crowd. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market can quickly adjust based on new information or changing sentiment. Discrepancies between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds can sometimes present opportunities for arbitrage, though these are often short-lived.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Estoril Praia or CS Marítimo will score first. As more shares are purchased for one outcome, its price increases, and the price of the other outcome decreases. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing reflects the evolving consensus of traders. The current implied probability of Estoril Praia scoring first is 50.0%, while the probability of CS Marítimo scoring first is the remaining percentage. The market's efficiency depends on active participation and informed trading.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team is officially recorded as scoring the first goal in the Estoril Praia vs. CS Marítimo match. The official match records will serve as the definitive source for determining the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on their holdings in the winning share(s). It’s important to note that any potential delays in official reporting could impact the resolution timeline.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Estoril Praia or CS Marítimo would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in team form, such as recent wins or losses, could also shift expectations. Even pre-match analysis from sports commentators or unexpected weather conditions impacting playing style could influence traders' decisions. Any significant information released before the match that alters the perceived likelihood of either team scoring first has the potential to move this market considerably.