TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 2:00 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Estonia and Luxembourg, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Estonia vs. Luxembourg match originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Estonia and Luxembourg, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Estonia vs. Luxembourg match originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks may set odds based on pre-match analysis and public perception, while this market incorporates a continuous flow of information and diverse opinions from traders. However, discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments and market dynamics. It's common to see this market adjust rapidly to news or late-breaking information that hasn't fully impacted sportsbook odds, potentially offering value to informed traders.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different exact scores. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders regarding the probability of that score occurring. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe a particular score is likely, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds closely align with the perceived probabilities of each outcome, offering a unique perspective compared to traditional betting methods.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official result of the Estonia vs. Luxembourg match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact score at the end of regulation time will be used to determine the winning contract. Any extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered for resolution purposes. Traders who correctly predicted the final score will receive a payout based on the closing odds at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or tactical adjustments announced by either Estonia or Luxembourg could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match statements from key players or coaches, could also shift the market. Furthermore, general shifts in public sentiment or analysis from sports commentators could drive trading volume and price fluctuations in this market.