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24H VOL:

$277,138,640

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2,984,640,614

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$1,905,404,943

412,077

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39,838

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4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

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Estonia vs Iceland: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Estonia vs Iceland?

Volume:
$22,102

Iceland wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Iceland wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 6, 2026

Closed: Oct 6, 4:43 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Iceland wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,168
N/A
N/A
$8,535
Settled
No
kalshi

Estonia wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,218
N/A
N/A
$7,115
Settled
No
kalshi

Iceland wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,416
N/A
N/A
$3,021
Settled
No
kalshi

Estonia wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a UEFA Nations League soccer match between Estonia and Iceland, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Bets are placed on whether a team will win by a specific goal differential.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple outcome scenarios for the Estonia vs Iceland UEFA Nations League match scheduled for October 6, 2026. Four distinct markets are considered, each tied to a specific goal differential threshold for either team’s victory. If Estonia wins by more than 2.5 goals, the first market resolves positively. A second Estonia market resolves if the victory margin exceeds 1.5 goals. For Iceland, two markets exist: one resolves if Iceland wins by more than 1.5 goals, and the other if the win margin surpasses 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based solely on the official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty phases. The markets operate independently, meaning each is assessed separately against its respective threshold. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Estonia vs Iceland match tracks the current price of the spread, the 24-hour trading volume, and a history of how the price has changed over time. Currently, volume stands at $20,553, with a total volume of $22,102. The dashboard allows users to see how other traders are positioning themselves on the outcome of this event. This information is updated in real-time, providing a dynamic view of market sentiment regarding the Estonia vs Iceland match.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analyses, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows anyone to trade and express their opinion, which can lead to odds that diverge from sportsbook lines as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may adjust their odds based on betting patterns, prediction markets continuously update based on every trade made on Kalshi.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the spread in the Estonia vs Iceland match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. The more traders believe a particular spread is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will be, and vice versa.

This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread in the Estonia vs Iceland match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the final price of the contracts they held. The market will then close, and all outstanding contracts will be settled.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 6, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies for either Estonia or Iceland could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or controversies surrounding the match could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume on Kalshi from informed traders could indicate a change in expectations, causing the market to move rapidly. Public opinion and analysis from sports commentators may also contribute to price fluctuations.