TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Estonia vs. Iceland - Second Half Result
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Estonia vs Iceland?

Volume:
$1,427

Draw

all

2 markets

Predict

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 6, 2026

Closed: Oct 6, 4:45 PM EST

predict

Predict

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

Draw

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$1
$303
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

EST

View
1%
15%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
N/A
$381
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Estonia

View
0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

ISL

View
1%
47%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$0
$332
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Iceland

View
0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$410
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This prediction market asks for the winner of the second half of a UEFA Nations League game between Estonia and Iceland. The market considers goals scored only in the second half, including stoppage time, and defines outcomes as either Estonia winning, Iceland winning, or a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict define the resolution criteria identically, focusing solely on second-half goals and providing the same fallback resolution procedures.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.

Core resolution logic:

  • The team scoring more goals in the second half (including stoppage time) wins.
  • If both teams score the same number of goals in the second half, the market resolves to 'Draw'.
  • If the game is cancelled, the market resolves to 'Draw'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game is completed.
  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours, Flashscore data will be used, followed by Sofascore, and finally a consensus of credible reporting.
Timing: Within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, or when official statistics are available, whichever is sooner.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Estonia and Iceland, scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Estonia" if Estonia score more goals than Iceland in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Estonia and Iceland score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Iceland" if Iceland score more goals than Estonia in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Predict

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Estonia and Iceland, scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Estonia" if Estonia score more goals than Iceland in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Estonia and Iceland score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Iceland" if Iceland score more goals than Estonia in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on who will win the second half of the Estonia vs. Iceland match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $1,427, with $815 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows traders to see where the smart money is going regarding the Estonia vs. Iceland second half. Polymarket currently favors Estonia to win the second half at 98%, while Predict leans toward a draw. This aggregation provides a comprehensive look at predictions for this specific period of the game.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply the dynamics of each market. It’s valuable to compare both to gain a fuller understanding of potential outcomes.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict may diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for trading and order execution differ between Polymarket and Predict, influencing how quickly and to what extent prices adjust to new information. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Estonia to win the second half at 98%, while Predict leans toward a draw, illustrating this potential for differing views.